BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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San Diego St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 50 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (11-1) Overall Strength =   88.78

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Neutral W    78.18  28  10   1A 125 (  2- 10) New Mexico St          -9.80     27.80                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    W    97.31  38  14   1A 109 (  1- 11) Arizona                 9.34     14.66                      
  3 09/18/2021 Neutral W    98.55  33  31   1A  12 (  9-  3) Utah                   10.58     -8.58                      
  4 09/25/2021 Neutral W    90.26  48  21   1B  68 (  4-  7) Towson                  2.28     24.72                      
  5 10/09/2021 Neutral W *  86.57  31   7   1A 124 (  3-  9) New Mexico             -1.40     25.40                      
  6 10/15/2021 Away    W *  76.62  19  13   1A 110 (  5-  7) San Jose St           -11.35     17.35                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    W *  97.62  20  14   1A  38 (  9-  3) Air Force               9.65     -3.65                      
  8 10/30/2021 Neutral L *  78.43  20  30   1A  56 (  9-  3) Fresno St              -9.54     -0.46                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    W *  84.98  17  10   1A  98 (  6-  7) Hawaii                 -3.00     10.00                      
 10 11/13/2021 Neutral W *  91.37  23  21   1A  44 (  8-  4) Nevada                  3.40     -1.40                      
 11 11/19/2021 Away    W *  82.18  28  20   1A 108 (  2- 10) UNLV                   -5.80     13.80                      
 12 11/26/2021 Neutral W * 103.32  27  16   1A  29 (  7-  5) Boise St               15.34     -4.34                      
      Averages              88.78  27.7 17.2

Best game:  103.32 = 11 point win over Boise St
Worst game:  76.62 = 6 point win over San Jose St
Team stdev:   9.03